The Syrian Civil War 2019 the changing of the Picot-Sykes Middle East Map. Tim Tufuga Dec. 11, 2018

Back in August, 2016. I had written a synoptic assessment of the Syrian Conflict which raised an interesting scenario in the likely outcome of the post Islamic State demise. (1)

(Source: Wikipedia: 2016)

On August 29th, 2017, (2)I had continued my assessment of the Syrian Conflict and I was adamant that although the Russians and Turkey’s increased involvement in the Syrian conflict, my predictions back in 2016 would invariably be on track, I had published an article on the Syrian Civil War and the fate of the Islamic State and their ineluctable entropic demise. Invariably, the Islamic State peril would always be considered as the cassus belli as the harbinger for Kurdish self determination.

In December, 2018, Stratfor, has published their latest assessment of the Syrian War forever re-mapping boundaries of Syria and what has been revealed seems to be consistent with my synoptic assessment back in August 2016.

(Source: Stratfor: December 2018)

The Picot-Sykes (1919), (2) re-drawing of the post Ottoman Empire into the present day Middle Eastern National Sovereign States, has created most of the present day crisis within the Middle East. Perhaps, the worse outcome of the Sykes-Picot agreement was the elimination of a Kurdish sovereign state.

As the Islamic State is ultimately eradicated, once and for all, the Peshmerga will refocus their attention back to the Iraqi Kurdistan Independence from Iraq, and more significantly, is the expansion of the Kurdistan Sovereign border to envelop Greater Kurdistan which would cut swathes of territorial boundaries of Syria (Rojava region), Iran, Turkey and Iraq Kurdistan. The Sykes-Picot mea culpa would perhaps ignite a unified conflict by Turkey, Iran, Iraq and Syria against a emergent Kurdish nationalism movement which may find some allies from foreign sources in light of the Peshmerga (Iraqi Kurdistan Military Branch) and the Syrian Democratic Front’s (An amalgam of Turkish Kurds and Syrian Kurdish fighters) and their rapport with US operators and advisers with Operation Inherent Resolve (Syria).

The most salient outcome of the Syrian Civil war is the ominous signs that the post islamic State eradication will morph into a Kurdish Nationalism conflict.
Timoteo Tufuga

Source:
https://timbtufuga2016.blogspot.com/2016/08/an-australian-response-to-post-islamic.html
https://timbtufuga2017.blogspot.com/2017/08/iraqi-kurdish-referenda-influences.html
https://thekurdishproject.org/history-and-culture/kurdish-history/sykes-picot-agreement/

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